Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 3, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield3 - 3Independiente
Martin Lucero (12'), Almada (88'), de los Santos (90+3')
Poblete (26'), Gianetti (70'), Tarragona (85')
Poblete (26'), Gianetti (70'), Tarragona (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Independiente.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Independiente |
| 45.58% | 26.83% | 27.59% |
| Both teams to score 48.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
