Copa Diego Maradona
Oct 3, 2021 12.15am
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Juan Martin Lucero 12' goal
  • Geronimo Poblete 26' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Gianetti 70' yellowcard
  • Cristian Tarragona 85' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 88' goal
  • Matias de los Santos 90'+3' goal
  • goal Silvio Romero 13'
  • goal Silvio Romero 31'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bustos 33'
  • yellowcard Sergio Barreto 37'
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel Insaurralde 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Costa 68'
  • goal Ayrton Costa 71'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 82'

Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Sep 24, 2021 11.00pm
Sarmiento 0 - 1 Velez Sarsfield

Independiente

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Sep 26, 2021 10.00pm
Independiente 1 - 4 Godoy Cruz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result

Velez Sarsfield 45.58%
Draw 26.83%
Independiente 27.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.53%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.95%
Under 2.5 56.05%
Over 3.5 22.87%
Under 3.5 77.13%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 75.47%
Under 0.5 24.53%
Over 1.5 41%
Under 1.5 59%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 64.3%
Under 0.5 35.7%
Over 1.5 27.53%
Under 1.5 72.48%

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 45.57%
Draw 26.82%
Independiente 27.59%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 45.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.82%
Independiente
0-1 @ 9.02%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.65%
1-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 27.59%

Head to Head

Copa Diego Maradona
Mar 20, 2021 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Miguel Brizuela 81' yellowcard
  • Luis Abram 83' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Gonzalez 34'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 67'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 77'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani (Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires)
  • Maximiliano Romero 28' goal
  • Nicolas Dominguez 60' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 76' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 45'
  • yellowcard Gaston Silva 68'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 24
Mar 30, 2019 8.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
  • Pablo Hernandez 13' yellowcard
  • Pablo Perez 40' yellowcard
  • Silvio Romero 56' goal
  • Pablo Perez 84' goal
  • goal Leandro Fernandez 8'
  • yellowcard Hernan de la Fuente 29'
  • yellowcard Leandro Fernandez 44'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 46'