Independiente
Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 13, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
0 - 1
Lanus


Velasco (33'), Romero (77'), Manuel Insaurralde (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Manuel Lopez (50')
Morel (33'), Belmonte (40'), Sand (45+2')
Belmonte (45+2')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawLanus
46.59%27.08%26.33%
Both teams to score 46.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.33%57.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.57%78.43%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25%24.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68%59.32%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.37%37.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.59%74.41%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 46.59%
    Lanus 26.33%
    Draw 27.08%
IndependienteDrawLanus
1-0 @ 13%
2-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 8.87%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 46.59%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 9.32%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 26.33%