Copa Diego Maradona
Sep 24, 2021 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gervasio Nunez 8' yellowcard
  • Julian Chicco 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Guidara 36'
  • goal Juan Martin Lucero 73'

Sarmiento vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Godoy Cruz 1 - 1 Sarmiento

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Sep 18, 2021 7.45pm
Velez Sarsfield 3 - 2 Aldosivi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result

Sarmiento 23.95%
Draw 29.18%
Velez Sarsfield 46.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

39.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 34.25%
Under 2.5 65.75%
Over 3.5 15.59%
Under 3.5 84.41%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 55.57%
Under 0.5 44.43%
Over 1.5 19.53%
Under 1.5 80.48%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 71.62%
Under 0.5 28.38%
Over 1.5 35.88%
Under 1.5 64.13%

Score analysis

Sarmiento 23.94%
Draw 29.17%
Velez Sarsfield 46.87%
Sarmiento
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 5.23%
2-0 @ 4.15%
3-1 @ 1.41%
3-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 23.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 12.6%
2-2 @ 3.29%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 29.17%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 15.88%
0-2 @ 10%
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-3 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.32%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 46.87%

Head to Head

Copa Diego Maradona
Feb 21, 2021 8.10pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
  • Jonathan Torres 90'+5' goal
  • goal Lucas Janson 12'
  • goal Thiago Almada 63'
  • yellowcard Pablo Galdames 70'