Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 30, 2021 at 11pm UK
Sarmiento1 - 2River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Sarmiento and River Plate.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.33%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | River Plate |
| 15.92% | 22.92% | 61.16% |
| Both teams to score 44.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.66% | 53.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% | 74.88% |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.77% | 46.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.1% | 81.9% |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% | 17.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.79% | 47.21% |
| Score Analysis |
Sarmiento 15.92%
River Plate 61.16%
Draw 22.91%
| Sarmiento | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 6.08% 2-1 @ 4.15% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.07% 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.92% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 13.94% 0-2 @ 12.33% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 5.61% 0-4 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-5 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.16% |
How you voted: Sarmiento vs River Plate
Sarmiento
44.4%Draw
0.0%River Plate
55.6%9


