Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Colon and Sarmiento.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 50.29% | 27.25% | 22.45% |
| Both teams to score 43.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.09% | 60.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.08% | 80.92% |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% | 24.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% | 58.87% |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.92% | 43.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.64% | 79.36% |
| Score Analysis |
Colon 50.29%
Sarmiento 22.45%
Draw 27.24%
| Colon | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 14.83% 2-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.24% Total : 50.29% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.03% Total : 22.45% |


