Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.