Copa Diego Maradona
Feb 27, 2021 10.20pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Domingo Blanco 4' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 59' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 67' goal
  • Jonathan Menendez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcelo Weigandt 89'
  • redcard 90'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'

Independiente vs Gimnasia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Feb 21, 2021 10.20pm
Patronato 0 - 1 Independiente

Gimnasia

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Feb 19, 2021 10.15pm
Gimnasia 3 - 0 Talleres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result

Independiente 45.76%
Draw 27.77%
Gimnasia 26.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.15%

Goals

Over 2.5 40%
Under 2.5 59.99%
Over 3.5 19.76%
Under 3.5 80.23%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 73.78%
Under 0.5 26.22%
Over 1.5 38.68%
Under 1.5 61.32%

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5 61.19%
Under 0.5 38.81%
Over 1.5 24.46%
Under 1.5 75.54%

Score analysis

Independiente 45.76%
Draw 27.77%
Gimnasia 26.47%
Independiente
1-0 @ 13.62%
2-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.63%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2%
Total : 45.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.77%
Gimnasia
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.47%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 21
Feb 22, 2020 10.40pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Libertadores de America
  • Fabricio Bustos 17' yellowcard
  • Sergio Barreto 18' yellowcard
  • Juan Sanchez Mino 80' yellowcard
  • Brian Martinez 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harrinson Mancilla 40'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Cocimano 88'
  • goal Eric Ramirez 90'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 21
Mar 4, 2019 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
  • Maximiliano Comba 42' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Faravelli 52' goal
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bustos 29'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 33'