Copa Diego Maradona
Independiente
Jan 3, 2021 8.10pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Arsenal
  • Lucas Romero 33' goal
  • Jonathan Menendez 68' goal
  • Lucas Pusineri 74' redcard
  • Lucas Romero 74' yellowcard
  • Alan Velasco 75' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 78' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 79' redcard
  • Alan Velasco 83' goal
  • goal Lucas Albertengo 15'
  • goal Jhonatan Candia 59'
  • goal Ramiro Luna 73'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Papa 82'
  • yellowcard Jhonatan Candia 84'
  • redcard Jhonatan Candia 85'
  • yellowcard Facundo Pons 90'+1'
  • goal Ramiro Luna 90'+4'

Independiente vs Arsenal Sarandi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Dec 28, 2020 10.20pm
Argentinos Jrs 0 - 2 Independiente

Arsenal Sarandi

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Dec 28, 2020 12.30am
River Plate 2 - 1 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result

Independiente 50.45%
Draw 25.92%
Arsenal Sarandi 23.63%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.74%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.62%
Under 2.5 55.38%
Over 3.5 23.41%
Under 3.5 76.59%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 78%
Under 0.5 22%
Over 1.5 44.69%
Under 1.5 55.32%

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5 61.21%
Under 0.5 38.79%
Over 1.5 24.48%
Under 1.5 75.52%

Score analysis

Independiente 50.45%
Draw 25.92%
Arsenal Sarandi 23.63%
Independiente
1-0 @ 12.92%
2-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 4.94%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 50.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 8.53%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.92%
Arsenal Sarandi
0-1 @ 8.08%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 3.83%
1-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.63%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 20
Independiente
Feb 18, 2020 12.10am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Libertadores de America
Arsenal
  • Carlos Benavidez 38' yellowcard
  • Diego Mercado 42' yellowcard
  • Alexander Barboza 86' yellowcard
  • Leandro Fernandez 90' goal
  • Leandro Fernandez 90' yellowcard
  • Leandro Fernandez 90' redcard
  • goal Gaston Alvarez Suarez 15'
  • yellowcard Fabio Pereyra 49'
  • yellowcard Franco Sbuttoni 71'
  • yellowcard Alejo Antilef 90'

Form Data

Argentinos Jrs 0 - 2 Independiente
Independiente 1 - 2 Boca Juniors
Independiente 1 - 3 Lanus
Huracan 3 - 2 Independiente
Lanus 0 - 0 Independiente
Independiente 1 - 0 Defensa
River Plate 2 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 0 - 1 Argentinos Jrs
Boca Juniors 1 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 1 - 0 Racing
Tucuman 3 - 2 Arsenal
Arsenal 2 - 3 Santa Fe