Independiente
Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 21, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Sarmiento

Independiente
1 - 1
Sarmiento

Romero (6')
Velasco (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gondou (32')
Bravo (41'), Montoya (71')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and Sarmiento.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawSarmiento
52.19%26.59%21.22%
Both teams to score 43.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.22%59.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.93%80.07%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91%23.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06%56.94%
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.3%43.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.12%79.88%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 52.18%
    Sarmiento 21.22%
    Draw 26.58%
IndependienteDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 14.79%
2-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-0 @ 5.3%
3-1 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 52.18%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 8.36%
1-2 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.03%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.22%