Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Sep 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
 

Sarmiento
2 - 0
Arsenal

Lopez (20'), Torres (81' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 Sarmiento
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 3-0 Aldosivi
Monday, September 19 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.

Result
SarmientoDrawArsenal Sarandi
42.71% (-0.332 -0.33)28.54% (0.117 0.12)28.75% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 44.49% (-0.194 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.48% (-0.299 -0.3)61.52% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.62% (-0.221 -0.22)81.38% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.324 -0.32)28.54% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (-0.409 -0.41)64.32% (0.413 0.41)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (0.011000000000003 0.01)37.75% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.47% (0.013000000000002 0.01)74.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 42.7%
    Arsenal Sarandi 28.75%
    Draw 28.54%
SarmientoDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 13.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 42.7%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.77% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 10.49% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 28.75%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 7.45pm
Arsenal
1-0
Sarmiento
Antilef (69')
Mendez (2'), Farioli (20')

Garcia (14'), Chicco (41'), Salvareschi (80')