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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Sep 16, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
2 - 0
Arsenal

Sosa (49'), Colazo (54')
Sosa (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pitton (28'), Rivero (40'), Diaz (45+3'), Miloc (62')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 Gimnasia
Sunday, September 11 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, September 11 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawArsenal Sarandi
53.12% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 26.06% (0.536 0.54) 20.81% (-0.57 -0.57)
Both teams to score 44.14% (-2.142 -2.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.6% (-2.431 -2.43)58.4% (2.433 2.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21% (-1.94 -1.94)79% (1.941 1.94)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)22.11% (0.986 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (-1.508 -1.51)55.47% (1.511 1.51)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.67% (-2.007 -2.01)43.33% (2.008 2.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.43% (-1.726 -1.73)79.57% (1.728 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 53.11%
    Arsenal Sarandi 20.81%
    Draw 26.06%
GimnasiaDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 14.45% (0.88 0.88)
2-0 @ 10.91% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.242 -0.24)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.216 -0.22)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 53.11%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.58% (0.851 0.85)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.305 -0.31)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.298 0.3)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.81%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2021 6.30pm
Arsenal
0-1
Gimnasia

Ruiz (42'), Goni (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Navas (71')
Carbonero (67')
Fratta (36'), Aleman (45+1'), Cecchini (75'), Insaurralde (78'), Rey (82'), Holgado (88')
Nov 24, 2019 10.40pm
Gimnasia
0-1
Arsenal

Paradela (22')
Garcia (4')
Kaprof (74'), Sappa (77'), Mendez (79')
rhs 2.0
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