Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.