Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
Sep 11, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estadio Julio H. Grondona

Arsenal
2 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Chimino (41'), Diaz (59' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gariglio (31' og.), Brizuela (87')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Sarandi

Last Six:
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-0 Arsenal
Monday, September 5 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, September 8 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawVelez Sarsfield
31.6% (0.004999999999999 0)28.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)39.53% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 44.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.2% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)61.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.41% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)81.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28%35.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)72.49% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)30.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)66.7% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 31.59%
    Velez Sarsfield 39.53%
    Draw 28.86%
Arsenal SarandiDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 6.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.35%
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 31.59%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.88%
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.86%
0-1 @ 12.93%
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61%
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 39.53%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 10.15pm
Arsenal
0-0
Velez Sarsfield

Martinez (58')
Martinez (84')

Gomez (90+6')
Oct 16, 2021 1.15am
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Arsenal

Poblete (20'), Ortega (35'), Mulet (81')

Mendez (29'), Papa (45+2'), Ruiz (71')
Feb 23, 2020 8.35pm
Arsenal
0-4
Velez Sarsfield

Cerica (28'), Mendez (36')
Centurion (13'), Janson (16'), Romero (47', 64')