Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17

Sep 3, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 1
Newell's OB

Fernandez (17'), Mulet (24'), Brizuela (90+3'), Caseres (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Manuel Garcia (57')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
49.98% ( -5.8)	26.71% ( 1.58)	23.31% ( 4.22)

Both teams to score 45.28% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.57% (

-1.44)

58.42% (

1.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.98% (

-1.14)

79.02% (

1.13)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5% (

-3.07)

23.5% (

3.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.47% (

-4.66)

57.53% (

4.65)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.19% (

3.62)

40.8% (

-3.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.62% (

3.09)

77.38% (

-3.09)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 49.97%

Newell's Old Boys 23.31%

Draw 26.7%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 13.88% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -1.39) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -1.21) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.57) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.65) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.38) Other @ 2.54% Total : 49.97%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.75) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( 1.23) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.84) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.87) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.38) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.34) Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.31%