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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17
Sep 3, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 1
Newell's OB


Fernandez (17'), Mulet (24'), Brizuela (90+3'), Caseres (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Manuel Garcia (57')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-4 Flamengo
Thursday, September 1 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Newell's Old Boys

Last Six:
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-2 Godoy Cruz
Saturday, August 27 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawNewell's Old Boys
49.98% (-5.804 -5.8) 26.71% (1.583 1.58) 23.31% (4.216 4.22)
Both teams to score 45.28% (1.066 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.57% (-1.442 -1.44)58.42% (1.437 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.98% (-1.14 -1.14)79.02% (1.135 1.13)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-3.072 -3.07)23.5% (3.068 3.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-4.656 -4.66)57.53% (4.65 4.65)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (3.621 3.62)40.8% (-3.626 -3.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.62% (3.089 3.09)77.38% (-3.094 -3.09)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 49.97%
    Newell's Old Boys 23.31%
    Draw 26.7%
Velez SarsfieldDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 13.88% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-0 @ 10.05% (-1.39 -1.39)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.274 -0.27)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-1.206 -1.21)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.565 -0.57)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.649 -0.65)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.377 -0.38)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 49.97%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.75 0.75)
0-0 @ 9.59% (0.511 0.51)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.273 0.27)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 8.6% (1.231 1.23)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.835 0.84)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.865 0.87)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.384 0.38)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.188 0.19)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.343 0.34)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.31%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 1.15am
Newell's OB
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Garro (90+1')
Sforza (1'), Maccari (33'), Scocco (66'), Canale (90+3'), Aguerre (90+5')
Martin Lucero (6'), Tarragona (82')
Guidara (24'), Poblete (65')
Feb 13, 2021 10.20pm
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Newell's OB
Martin Lucero (35')
Mancuello (45')

Perez (23'), Fernandez (67')
Perez (57')
Jan 3, 2021 10.20pm
Zone Four
Newell's OB
0-1
Velez Sarsfield

Sforza (44'), Perez (62')
Brizuela (75')
Bouzat (82')
Aug 24, 2019 7.30pm
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Newell's OB
Dominguez (30', 62'), Janson (71')
Bouzat (64'), Robertone (65'), Romero (80')
Rodriguez (38')
Rodriguez (32'), Gentiletti (76'), Formica (78'), Fernandez (87')
Aug 10, 2018 11pm
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Newell's OB
Abram (2'), Vargas (27' pen.)
Abram (18'), Salinas (76')

Ferroni (6'), Ibanez (9'), Fontanini (26')
rhs 2.0
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