Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.