Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Aug 17, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

Newell's OB
2 - 0
Lanus

Tomas Ortellado (27' og.), Balzi (44')
Perez (82'), Morales (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tomas Ortellado (24'), Perez (90+1'), Leonel Blando (90+8')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

Last Six:
Last Game: River Plate 4-1 Newell's OB
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Lanus

Last Six:
Last Game: Lanus 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, August 13 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawLanus
51.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)26.76% (-0.064 -0.06)21.86% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.6% (0.182 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.21% (0.225 0.23)59.79% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.93% (0.173 0.17)80.07% (-0.173 -0.17)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (0.11799999999999 0.12)23.46% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (0.172 0.17)57.47% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (0.152 0.15)43.04% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68% (0.127 0.13)79.32% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 51.37%
    Lanus 21.86%
    Draw 26.76%
Newell's Old BoysDrawLanus
1-0 @ 14.63% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 51.37%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.09% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 21.86%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2021 7.45pm
Lanus
1-2
Newell's OB
Manuel Lopez (39')
Bernabei (66')
Castro (12', 29')
Fernandez (54'), Aguerre (63'), Castro (82'), Bittolo (87'), Compagnucci (90+2')
Apr 12, 2021 11pm
Lanus
1-3
Newell's OB
Sand (21')
De la Vega (14'), Morales (56'), Belmonte (65'), Sand (67'), Esquivel (85')
Belmonte (66')
Cristaldo (45'), Cacciabue (61', 73')
Cabral (9'), Cristaldo (65'), Pablo Freytes (90+3')
Dec 7, 2020 12.30am
Zone Four
Newell's OB
3-1
Lanus
Palacios (26', 90+2'), Formica (90')
Nadalin (28'), Gentiletti (38'), Fernandez (45+1'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Orozco (18')
Orozco (19'), Perez (36')
Perez (46')
Nov 14, 2020 7.15pm
Zone Four
Lanus
2-4
Newell's OB
Sand (73', 90+4')
B (26')
Fontanini (24'), Palacios (55'), Gentiletti (68'), Rodriguez (74')
Bittolo (17'), Nadalin (25')
Feb 16, 2020 10.40pm
Lanus
1-1
Newell's OB
Sand (63' pen.)
Belmonte (27'), Bernabei (42')
Palacios (58')
Lema (63'), Moreno (66')
rhs 2.0


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