Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Oct 4, 2022 at 11pm UK
 

Sarmiento
2 - 2
Tigre

Toledo (16'), Gondou (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Armoa (40'), Colidio (44')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Tigre.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, October 1 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Tigre

All competitions
Last Game: Tigre 3-0 Aldosivi
Friday, September 30 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
SarmientoDrawTigre
31.44% (0.038 0.04)27% (0.012 0.01)41.56% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.99% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.88% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)55.12% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.63% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)76.37% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)32.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (0.012 0.01)68.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)26.15% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.058 -0.06)61.22% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 31.44%
    Tigre 41.55%
    Draw 27%
SarmientoDrawTigre
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 31.44%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 11.33%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 41.55%