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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Sep 18, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna

Tigre
2 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Armoa (6'), Colidio (22')
Castro (9'), Retegui (44'), Galmarini (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Insua (21'), Garayalde (44')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-1 Tigre
Tuesday, September 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, September 11 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 45.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
TigreDrawVelez Sarsfield
45.66% (0.052 0.05) 27.54% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 26.79% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.99% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)59.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.5% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)79.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02)25.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)60.79% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)37.99% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.76% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 45.66%
    Velez Sarsfield 26.79%
    Draw 27.54%
TigreDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 45.66%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 9.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 26.79%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Velez Sarsfield
3-2
Tigre
Florentin (26'), Janson (33' pen.), Fernandez (40')
Janson (19'), Ortega (50'), Sosa (90+8')
Obando (23'), Prieto (87')
Cabrera (63'), Prieto (80')
Mar 4, 2019 10.20pm
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
Tigre
Abram (42')
Gianetti (71'), Gimenez (88')
Gonzalez (51', 78')
Prediger (21'), Galmarini (88')
rhs 2.0
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