Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.66%) and 1-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-0 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.