Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (12.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.