MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 06:17:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 20, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
San Lorenzo

Newell's OB
1 - 0
San Lorenzo

Eduardo Recalde (77')
Mosquera (50'), Perez (74'), Eduardo Recalde (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colon 1-1 Newell's OB
Tuesday, March 14 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 4-0 Gimnasia
Saturday, March 11 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Newell's Old Boys 0-1 San Lorenzo

The last eight matches between these sides have been decided by a goal or fewer, and given how strong they both are defensively, we expect another cagey affair on Monday. We believe the visitors have the edge because they have created more scoring opportunities and are finding the back of the net with a lot more consistency than Old Boys. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.98%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawSan Lorenzo
39.26% (-0.58799999999999 -0.59) 32.28% (0.19 0.19) 28.45% (0.393 0.39)
Both teams to score 35.62% (-0.257 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
27.83% (-0.374 -0.37)72.17% (0.37 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.41% (-0.231 -0.23)88.59% (0.227 0.23)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.81% (-0.59 -0.59)36.18% (0.58600000000001 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03% (-0.604 -0.6)72.97% (0.599 0.6)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.81% (0.111 0.11)44.18% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.72% (0.089000000000002 0.09)80.27% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 39.26%
    San Lorenzo 28.44%
    Draw 32.27%
Newell's Old BoysDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 16.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.26%
0-0 @ 15.98% (0.22 0.22)
1-1 @ 13.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.76% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 32.27%
0-1 @ 13.05% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.106 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 28.44%

How you voted: Newell's OB vs San Lorenzo

Newell's Old Boys
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
San Lorenzo
42.9%
35
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2022 12am
Newell's OB
0-0
San Lorenzo

Fernandez (58')
Lema (63')

Elias (17'), Gattoni (28'), Alan Hernandez (44'), Cerutti (65')
Apr 28, 2022 12.30am
Newell's OB
1-2
San Lorenzo
Lema (68')
Gonzalez (26'), Giani (43'), Perez (52'), Rossi (90+6')
Martegani (22'), Gattoni (61')
Gordillo (67')
Dec 12, 2021 8pm
San Lorenzo
3-2
Newell's OB
Ortigoza (34' pen.), Di Santo (45+2', 47')
Cerutti (40'), Rosane (42'), Garcia (75'), Sabella (86'), Zapata (89')
Sabella (90+5')
Gonzalez (6'), Fernandez (42')
Escobar (2'), Calcaterra (17'), Perez (43')
Bittolo (18'), Calcaterra (84')
Feb 4, 2020 12.10am
Newell's OB
1-0
San Lorenzo
Moreno (71')
Lema (36'), Fernandez (74'), Bittolo (87')

Peralta Bauer (76')
Feb 16, 2019 8.10pm
San Lorenzo
1-1
Newell's OB
Blandi (45')
Castellani (69')
Rodriguez (92')
Insaurralde (12'), Formica (45')
rhs 2.0
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