Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.