Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.