Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 39.2%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Colon had a probability of 30.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.43%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Godoy Cruz in this match.