Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.