Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.