MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 07:59:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Oct 2, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Julio H. Grondona
Independiente

Arsenal
0 - 1
Independiente


Perez (9'), Goni (45'), Rivero (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vallejo (3')
Vallejo (24'), Elizalde (43'), Laso (86'), Batallini (87'), Barreto (90+1')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 2-0 Arsenal
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, September 25 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawIndependiente
30.71% (0.133 0.13) 27.89% (0.103 0.1) 41.4% (-0.241 -0.24)
Both teams to score 47.13% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38% (-0.325 -0.32)58.61% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (-0.255 -0.25)79.17% (0.249 0.25)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)34.66% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)71.39% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.286 -0.29)27.86% (0.281 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (-0.367 -0.37)63.46% (0.361 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 30.7%
    Independiente 41.4%
    Draw 27.88%
Arsenal SarandiDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.7%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.66% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 12.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 41.4%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Nov 6, 2021 9pm
Independiente
3-0
Arsenal
Sonora (17'), Romero (37'), Velasco (56')
Velasco (57')

Mendez (43')
Jan 3, 2021 8.10pm
Zone Two
Independiente
3-4
Arsenal
Romero (33'), Menendez (68'), Velasco (83')
Romero (74'), Velasco (75'), Franco (78')
Pusineri (74'), Franco (79')
Albertengo (15'), Candia (59'), Luna (73', 90+4')
Papa (82'), Candia (84'), Pons (90+1')
Candia (85')
Feb 18, 2020 12.10am
Independiente
1-1
Arsenal
Fernandez (90')
Benavidez (38'), Mercado (42'), Barboza (86'), Fernandez (90')
Fernandez (90')
Alvarez Suarez (15')
Pereyra (49'), Sbuttoni (71'), Antilef (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Second Phase
1River PlateRiver Plate22006066
2TalleresTalleres22005146
3EstudiantesEstudiantes22003036
4Racing ClubRacing21107434
5HuracanHuracan21104224
6GimnasiaGimnasia21104224
7Independiente Rivadavia21102024
8Instituto21103214
9UnionUnion21102114
10Barracas Central21102114
11Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB11002023
12Boca Juniors21014313
13Deportivo Riestra210112-13
14Atletico TucumanTucuman210112-13
15Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs210135-23
16Rosario CentralRosario201134-11
17Sarmiento201123-11
18San Lorenzo201112-11
19TigreTigre201112-11
20BanfieldBanfield201112-11
21Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz201101-11
22Defensa y JusticiaDefensa201124-21
23IndependienteIndependiente201113-21
24LanusLanus201113-21
25Platense201102-21
26BelgranoBelgrano201147-31
27Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield100113-20
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba200227-50
 
First Phase
1Bath RugbyBath0
2Bath RugbyBath0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!