Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
1 - 0
Barracas Central

Mansilla (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Barracas Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Instituto 3-1 Newell's OB
Monday, February 27 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-0 Gimnasia
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawBarracas Central
58.97% (0.76799999999999 0.77)24.51% (-0.357 -0.36)16.52% (-0.408 -0.41)
Both teams to score 41.59% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (0.656 0.66)58.09% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (0.514 0.51)78.76% (-0.511 -0.51)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (0.557 0.56)19.61% (-0.554 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (0.896 0.9)51.56% (-0.893 -0.89)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.73% (-0.142 -0.14)48.27% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.57% (-0.105 -0.11)83.43% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 58.97%
    Barracas Central 16.52%
    Draw 24.5%
Newell's Old BoysDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 15.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 12.56% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.82% (0.18 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.119 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.033 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 58.97%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 16.52%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2022 7.30pm
Barracas Central
1-1
Newell's OB
Valenzuela (45+6' pen.)
Sordo (59')
Luciano (18')