Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.