Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.