Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Feb 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
 

Sarmiento
3 - 5
Barracas Central

Gondou (37' pen., 53', 75' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sepulveda (1', 48' pen., 81'), Tapia (6' pen.), Alvarez (62')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Barracas Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Instituto 0-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, January 29 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-1 Godoy Cruz
Monday, January 30 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
SarmientoDrawBarracas Central
49.6% (0.778 0.78)26.13% (-0.364 -0.36)24.27% (-0.415 -0.41)
Both teams to score 47.8% (0.629 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36% (1.017 1.02)55.64% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2% (0.826 0.83)76.79% (-0.827 -0.83)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.78200000000001 0.78)22.48% (-0.783 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (1.153 1.15)56.03% (-1.154 -1.15)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.66% (0.191 0.19)38.33% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (0.184 0.18)75.09% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 49.6%
    Barracas Central 24.27%
    Draw 26.13%
SarmientoDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 9.6% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.16 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.088 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.093 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 49.6%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.345 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.27%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
Mar 19, 2022 12.30am
Barracas Central
2-1
Sarmiento
Bandiera (66'), Ferreyra (74')
Ferreyra (37'), Glaby (38'), Mater (57'), Arce (61')
Toledo (58')
Andueza (37'), Toledo (61'), Torres (70'), Lopez (73'), Mendez (89')
Andueza (86')