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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jan 29, 2023 at 10.15pm UK
 
Sarmiento

Instituto
0 - 0
Sarmiento


Cerato (53'), Corda (69')
FT

Monaco (30')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Banfield 0-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, October 23 at 4pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 45.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 25.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
InstitutoDrawSarmiento
45.18% (-0.19 -0.19) 29.09% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 25.73% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 41.35% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.47% (-0.173 -0.17)64.53% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.44% (-0.122 -0.12)83.56% (0.122 0.12)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (-0.185 -0.19)28.67% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (-0.232 -0.23)64.48% (0.229 0.23)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96%42.04% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53%78.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 45.18%
    Sarmiento 25.73%
    Draw 29.08%
InstitutoDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 15.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.05% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.08%
0-1 @ 10.44% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 25.73%

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