Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Jan 29, 2023 10.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Instituto vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Emmanuel Martinez

Sarmiento

Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 23, 2022 4.00pm
Banfield 0 - 0 Sarmiento
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Luciano Gondou

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 45.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 25.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Instituto 45.18% (-0.19)
Draw 29.09% (+0.08)
Sarmiento 25.73% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.35% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.47% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 64.53% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 16.44% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 83.56% (+0.13)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5 71.33% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 28.67% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 35.52% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 64.48% (+0.23)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 57.96%
Under 0.5 42.04% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 21.53%
Under 1.5 78.47% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Instituto 45.18%
Draw 29.08%
Sarmiento 25.73%
Instituto
1-0 @ 15.05% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 45.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 12.05% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.08%
Sarmiento
0-1 @ 10.44% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 5.65% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.53% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 25.73%