Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 17, 2023 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
  • Leandro Contin 5' goal
  • Eric Ramirez 55' goal

Gimnasia vs Instituto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 12, 2023 8.00pm
Banfield 0 - 0 Gimnasia
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Cristian Tarragona

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 13, 2023 12.30am
Instituto 0 - 0 Huracan
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Emmanuel Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 42.16%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 28.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result

Gimnasia 42.16% (+1.15)
Draw 29.38% (-0.30)
Instituto 28.46% (-0.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.21% (+0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.73% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 64.27% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 16.62% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 83.38% (-0.46)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5 69.8% (+0.99)
Under 0.5 30.2% (-0.99)
Over 1.5 33.64% (+1.17)
Under 1.5 66.36% (-1.17)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5 60.47% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 39.53% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 23.79% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 76.21% (+0.31)

Score analysis

Gimnasia 42.16%
Draw 29.36%
Instituto 28.46%
Gimnasia
1-0 @ 14.29% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.56% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 7.94% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 3.42% (+0.20)
3-1 @ 3.17% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 1.47% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-92.88)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 42.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 11.93% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 3.69% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.36%
Instituto
0-1 @ 11.08% (-0.36)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.22)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 28.46%