Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Monagas win it was 1-0 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.