Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 7, 2023 at 1am UK
Monumental de Maturin

Monagas
0 - 0
Boca Juniors

FT
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Monagas and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Monagas 1-0 Everton
Tuesday, March 1 at 10.15pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Barracas Central 0-3 Boca Juniors
Saturday, April 1 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Monagas win it was 1-0 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
MonagasDrawBoca Juniors
24.91% (-0.181 -0.18)28.54% (0.114 0.11)46.55% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 42.05% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.68% (-0.455 -0.45)63.32% (0.454 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.3% (-0.329 -0.33)82.7% (0.33 0.33)
Monagas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.9% (-0.432 -0.43)42.1% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.48% (-0.376 -0.38)78.52% (0.377 0.38)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)27.37% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (-0.236 -0.24)62.84% (0.236 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Monagas 24.91%
    Boca Juniors 46.55%
    Draw 28.53%
MonagasDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 5.59% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 24.91%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 11.52% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 14.93% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 9.67% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 46.55%

How you voted: Monagas vs Boca Juniors

Monagas
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Boca Juniors
71.4%
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