Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 19, 2023 10.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Martin Payero 45'+2' goal
  • Miguel Merentiel 85' goal
  • goal Joaquin Varela 12'
  • goal Emmanuel Martinez 19'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 46'

Boca Juniors vs Instituto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 13, 2023 12.30am
Banfield 1 - 0 Boca Juniors
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 12.00am
Instituto 1 - 1 Tucuman
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Emmanuel Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result

Boca Juniors 54.71% (-0.20)
Draw 25.51% (+0.10)
Instituto 19.78% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.19% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.43% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 57.57% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 21.65% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 78.35% (+0.18)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 78.9% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 21.1% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 46.07% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 53.93% (+0.27)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5 56.01% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 43.99% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 19.89% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.11% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 54.7%
Draw 25.5%
Instituto 19.78%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.44% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.83% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 54.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.28% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.5%
Instituto
0-1 @ 7.62% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.87% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.13% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 19.78%