Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Mar 11, 2023 at 12am UK
 
Atletico Tucuman

Instituto
1 - 1
Tucuman

Graciani (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coronel (68')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

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Last Game: Independiente 2-2 Instituto
Sunday, March 5 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
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Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Banfield
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 45.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
InstitutoDrawAtletico Tucuman
45.94% (-0.205 -0.2)29.37% (0.081 0.08)24.7% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 39.94% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.12% (-0.168 -0.17)65.89% (0.167 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.5% (-0.117 -0.12)84.51% (0.117 0.12)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)28.94% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.238 -0.24)64.82% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)43.79% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)79.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 45.93%
    Atletico Tucuman 24.69%
    Draw 29.37%
InstitutoDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 45.93%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 12.67% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 29.37%
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.69%