Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.88%) and 1-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Banfield win was 1-0 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.