Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 43.53%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.62%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood.