Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 43.68%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.19%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.