Copa Sudamericana
Apr 5, 2023 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Olímpico Metropolitano de Mérida
  • goal Federico Gattoni 33'

Estudiantes Merida vs San Lorenzo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes Merida

All competitions

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 43.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 26.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Estudiantes Merida win it was 1-0 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result

Estudiantes Merida 26.89% (-0.52)
Draw 29.56% (-0.76)
San Lorenzo 43.55% (+1.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.93% (+1.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.57% (+1.96)
Under 2.5 65.42% (-1.96)
Over 3.5 15.81% (+1.34)
Under 3.5 84.19% (-1.35)
Over 4.5 6.04% (+0.69)
Under 4.5 93.96% (-0.69)

Estudiantes Merida Goals

Over 0.5 58.48% (+0.70)
Under 0.5 41.52% (-0.70)
Over 1.5 21.98% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 78.02% (-0.61)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5 70% (+1.73)
Under 0.5 30% (-1.73)
Over 1.5 33.88% (+2.03)
Under 1.5 66.12% (-2.04)

Score analysis

Estudiantes Merida 26.88%
Draw 29.56%
San Lorenzo 43.54%
Estudiantes Merida
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.62)
2-1 @ 5.79% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 1.7% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-93.28)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 26.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 12.45% (-0.95)
2-2 @ 3.49% (+0.21)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.56%
San Lorenzo
0-1 @ 14.99% (-0.38)
0-2 @ 9.03% (+0.21)
1-2 @ 7.94% (+0.33)
0-3 @ 3.62% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 3.19% (+0.28)
2-3 @ 1.4% (+0.15)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-95.81)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.54%