Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%).