Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 9, 2023 at 12am UK
 

Estudiantes
1 - 1
Tachira

Jose Paredes Jaspe (87'), Paredes (87')
FT
(aet)
Chacon (25')
Estudiantes win 3-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Estudiantes Merida and Deportivo Tachira.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes Merida

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Metropolitanos 4-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Deportivo Tachira

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Independiente 4-1 Tachira
Wednesday, August 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%).

Result
Estudiantes MeridaDrawDeportivo Tachira
29.62% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)28.23% (-0.02 -0.02)42.15% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Both teams to score 45.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.84% (0.045000000000002 0.05)60.16% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.64% (0.033000000000001 0.03)80.36% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Estudiantes Merida Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)36.32% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)73.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (0.070000000000007 0.07)28.19% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.092999999999996 0.09)63.88% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes Merida 29.61%
    Deportivo Tachira 42.15%
    Draw 28.22%
Estudiantes MeridaDrawDeportivo Tachira
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 29.61%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 10.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 12.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 42.15%