Atletico Tucuman
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
San Lorenzo

Tucuman
1 - 3
San Lorenzo

Romero (25')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Leguizamon (7', 58'), Barrios (19')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Last Game: Colon 0-0 Tucuman
Sunday, April 2 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-1 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 39.03%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.03%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawSan Lorenzo
39.03% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)31.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04)29.28% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 37.16% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.49% (-0.104 -0.1)70.52% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.44% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)87.56% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)35.4% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-0.113 -0.11)72.16% (0.113 0.11)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.52% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)42.48% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.15% (-0.029 -0.03)78.85% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 39.03%
    San Lorenzo 29.28%
    Draw 31.68%
Atletico TucumanDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 15.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 39.03%
0-0 @ 15.03% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-1 @ 13.37%
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 31.68%
0-1 @ 12.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 29.28%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 10pm
San Lorenzo
1-1
Tucuman
Bareiro (45+1')
Carrera (44')
Capasso (53')
Apr 3, 2022 8.30pm
San Lorenzo
1-1
Tucuman
Centurion (48')
Gordillo (52'), Zapata (61'), Elias (73'), Fernandez (73')
Carrera (85')
Tesuri (43'), Gil Romero (58'), Ortiz (78'), Bianchi (89')
Bianchi (90')
Oct 2, 2021 10pm
Tucuman
0-0
San Lorenzo

Acosta (44'), Albornoz (60'), Orihuela (87')

Zapata (62'), Fernandez (90')
Palacios (75')
Dec 30, 2020 12.30am
Zone One
Tucuman
1-3
San Lorenzo
Heredia (50')
Acosta (34')
Romero (6' pen.), Fernandez (75'), Ramirez (88')
Rodriguez (27'), Salazar (43'), Fernandez (86')
Salazar (49')
Nov 24, 2019 12.45am
Tucuman
2-2
San Lorenzo
Diaz (11'), Heredia (71')
Erbes (39'), Cabral (43'), Castellani (60'), Toledo (88'), Lucchetti (88')
Erbes (83')
Romero (54'), Blandi (85')
Romero (23'), Ramirez (36'), Rodriguez (88')