Copa Sudamericana
Apr 5, 2023 11.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Thiago Galhardo 4' goal
  • Tomas Pochettino 75' goal
  • Juan Martin Lucero 90'+1' goal
  • Tomas Pochettino 90'+4' goal

Fortaleza vs Palestino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Palestino

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 13.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result

Fortaleza 68.07% (+0.17)
Draw 18.77% (-0.08)
Palestino 13.15% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.64% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.44% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 41.56% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 36.04% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 63.96% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 19.04% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 80.95% (-0.13)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 88.8% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 11.2% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 64.28% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 35.71% (-0.20)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5 57.02% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 42.97% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 20.73% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 79.27% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Fortaleza 68.06%
Draw 18.77%
Palestino 13.15%
Fortaleza
2-0 @ 11.53%
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.42% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.11% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.61% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.89% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.02% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.7% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 68.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 18.77%
Palestino
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 3.76% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 13.15%