Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 5, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
4 - 0
Palestino

Galhardo (4'), Pochettino (75', 90+4'), Martin Lucero (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and Palestino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Last Game: Cerro Porteno 2-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, March 16 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Palestino

All competitions

Last Game: Cobresal 0-1 Palestino
Thursday, March 9 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 13.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Palestino
68.07% ( 0.16)	18.77% ( -0.08)	13.15% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 50.64% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.44% (

0.16)

41.56% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.04% (

0.16)

63.96% (

-0.16)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.8% (

0.09)

11.2% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.28% (

0.19)

35.71% (

-0.19)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.02% (

-0.03)

42.97% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.73% (

-0.03)

79.27% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 68.06%

Palestino 13.15%

Draw 18.77%

Fortaleza	Draw	Palestino
2-0 @ 11.53% 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.87% Total : 68.06%	1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 18.77%	0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 13.15%