Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg

Feb 24, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Domingo Burgueno

Maldonado
0 - 0
Fortaleza

(Fortaleza win 4-0 on aggregate)

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Maldonado
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Fortaleza

All competitions

Last Game: Santos 0-2 Fortaleza
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 12.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.17%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Fortaleza
12.62% ( -0.48)	22.16% ( -0.24)	65.21% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 39.13% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.65% (

-0.05)

56.35% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.62% (

-0.04)

77.37% (

0.04)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.99% (

-0.82)

53.01% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.34% (

-0.53)

86.66% (

0.53)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.29% (

0.23)

16.71% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.39% (

0.41)

46.61% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 12.62%

Fortaleza 65.2%

Draw 22.15%

Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.02% Total : 12.62%	1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.15%	0-1 @ 15.84% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 14.17% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 8.46% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 5.37% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.78% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 65.2%