Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Albion had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Albion win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.