Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.52%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Albion had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for an Albion win it was 0-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.