Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Albion

Pizzorno (49' og., 90+4' og.)
Ramos (60'), Laquintana (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Callorda (19')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

Last Six:
Last Game: Defensor 2-3 Penarol
Sunday, August 7 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Albion

Last Six:
Last Game: Albion 1-1 Liverpool
Monday, August 8 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Albion had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for an Albion win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawAlbion
55.11% (-0.257 -0.26)26.52% (0.201 0.2)18.37% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 39.74% (-0.386 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.69% (-0.556 -0.56)62.31% (0.555 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.03% (-0.412 -0.41)81.96% (0.41 0.41)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)22.9% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (-0.514 -0.51)56.66% (0.513 0.51)
Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.55% (-0.268 -0.27)48.44% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44% (-0.195 -0.2)83.55% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 55.11%
    Albion 18.37%
    Draw 26.51%
PenarolDrawAlbion
1-0 @ 16.35% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 12.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 55.11%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.09% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.37%

Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 7pm
Albion
1-3
Penarol
Neris (61' pen.)
Callorda (32'), Platero (35'), Ndong (81')
Ramos (28'), Laquintana (76'), Saravia (86')
Arias (8'), Aguirregaray (32'), Musto (81'), Ceppelini (83'), Alonso (90+5')
Feb 19, 2022 11pm
Albion
1-1
Penarol
Callorda (45+2')
Correa (30'), Ibanez (70'), Platero (76'), Sencion (77'), Vargas (80'), Ancheta (90+3')
Ceppelini (13')
Bonifazi (45+1'), Arias (83'), Canobbio (88'), Gargano (90+3'), Menosse (90+5')