Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 15, 2022 at 7pm UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Albion
2 - 3
Maldonado

Goyeni (2'), Neris (36' pen.)
Ibanez (7'), Ndong (10')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cantera (9' pen., 74' pen.), Piriz (85')
Nunez (35'), Piriz (38'), Tealde (80'), Ferreira (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Albion and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albion

Last Six:
Last Game: Albion 1-0 Torque
Friday, July 8 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Deportivo Maldonado

Last Six:
Last Game: Maldonado 1-2 Wanderers
Saturday, July 9 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 42.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Albion had a probability of 28.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Albion win it was 1-0 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.

Result
AlbionDrawDeportivo Maldonado
28.49% (0.061999999999998 0.06)28.82% (0.123 0.12)42.69% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 43.64% (-0.287 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.49% (-0.371 -0.37)62.51% (0.369 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.89% (-0.272 -0.27)82.11% (0.271 0.27)
Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-0.159 -0.16)38.51% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.151 -0.15)75.26% (0.148 0.15)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (-0.283 -0.28)29.03% (0.281 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (-0.352 -0.35)64.93% (0.349 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Albion 28.49%
    Deportivo Maldonado 42.68%
    Draw 28.81%
AlbionDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 28.49%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.17% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.81%
0-1 @ 13.82% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 42.68%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2022 8pm
Maldonado
0-0
Albion

Ferreira (6'), Cantera (7'), Muniz (43'), Darias (90+6')
Cantera (90+5')

Barrios (14'), Ibanez (32'), Neris (34'), Barros (53'), Callorda (80'), Pons (90+4'), Ndong (90+5')