Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.