May 30, 2022 at 7pm UK at Parque Capurro
2 - 1
(25'), Bueno (90+5' pen.)
Barboza (11'), Bueno (90+5')
Couto (53'), Varela (82'), Acevedo (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Fenix and Rentistas.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.