May 21, 2022 at 6.30pm UK at Complejo Deportivo Rentistas
2 - 0
Silveira (66' pen.), Varela (90+6')
Varela (38'), Rolin
(55'), Silveira (82')
Casiani (45'), Martinez (73'), Bentaberry (90+5'), Alvarez (90+7')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Rentistas and Cerro Largo.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.