Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Montevideo Wanderers

Maldonado
1 - 2
Wanderers

Borges (56')
Ferreira (24'), Varela (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendez (90', 90+8')
Fracchia (8'), Lacerda (21'), Estol (52'), Aguirre (69'), Hernandez (82'), Mendez (90+6')
Mendez (90+9'), Izquierdo (90+9')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

Last Six:
Last Game: Fenix 0-0 Maldonado
Saturday, June 25 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Montevideo Wanderers

Last Six:
Last Game: Wanderers 1-0 Torque
Monday, June 27 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawMontevideo Wanderers
31.66% (0.114 0.11)29.02% (0.725 0.72)39.32% (-0.837 -0.84)
Both teams to score 44.3% (-1.957 -1.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.72% (-2.436 -2.44)62.28% (2.437 2.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.06% (-1.824 -1.82)81.94% (1.825 1.83)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07% (-1.224 -1.22)35.93% (1.226 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.29% (-1.274 -1.27)72.71% (1.276 1.28)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (-1.698 -1.7)30.85% (1.698 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (-2.044 -2.04)67.13% (2.045 2.05)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 31.65%
    Montevideo Wanderers 39.31%
    Draw 29.02%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.64 0.64)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.33% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 31.65%
1-1 @ 13.34% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 11.08% (0.97 0.97)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.288 -0.29)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.02%
0-1 @ 13.03% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 7.66% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.31%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2022 11pm
Wanderers
0-1
Maldonado

Izquierdo (29'), Vidart (37'), Veglio (52'), Wagner (81'), Aguirre (90+4'), Mendez (90+10')
De Arruabarrena (51')
Borges (21' pen.)
Silva (45+1'), Gonzalez (86'), (89'), Cantera (90+7')
Cantera (90+12')
Sep 20, 2021 7.30pm
Maldonado
1-3
Wanderers
Casas (19')
Cardozo (3'), Nunez (8'), Bogliacino (89'), Bogliacino (89')
Cardozo (66')
Mendez (6' pen., 11'), Abero (45')
Mathias Tellechea (66'), Izquierdo (67')
May 23, 2021 9.15pm
Wanderers
0-0
Maldonado

Vadocz (26'), Abero (29'), Hernandez (38'), Torres (74'), Petryk (87')
Torres (90+2')

Souza (45+2')
Feb 6, 2021 10.15pm
Maldonado
1-1
Wanderers
Batista (19')
Ravecca (44'), (44'), Tealde (57'), Tellechea (71'), (84'), (89')
Rivero (24')
Alcoba (40'), Araujo (55'), Riolfo (89'), (90+4')
Aug 15, 2020 9pm
Wanderers
2-2
Maldonado
Lores (6'), Acuna (50')
Gonzalez (42'), Acuna (45'), Perez (82'), Torres (90+2'), (90+4')
Pagano (74'), Pereyra (89')
Castellanos (38'), Pagano (42'), Cantera (84')