Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 16, 2022 at 11pm UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Penarol

Wanderers
3 - 3
Penarol

Bravo (42'), Hernandez (58'), Santurio (69')
Univaso (30'), Bravo (39'), Garcia (80'), Lacerda (86'), Silveira (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bentancourt (34', 48', 90+5')
Alvarez (42'), O'Neil (44')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

Last Six:
Last Game: Maldonado 1-2 Wanderers
Saturday, July 9 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

Last Six:
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Fenix
Sunday, July 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawPenarol
26.99% (-0.419 -0.42)29.63% (0.23 0.23)43.38% (0.19 0.19)
Both teams to score 40.83% (-0.779 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.42% (-0.841 -0.84)65.58% (0.843 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.7% (-0.586 -0.59)84.3% (0.58900000000001 0.59)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.48% (-0.845 -0.84)41.52% (0.847 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (-0.752 -0.75)78.02% (0.755 0.75)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-0.316 -0.32)30.17% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (-0.382 -0.38)66.33% (0.384 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 26.99%
    Penarol 43.37%
    Draw 29.63%
Montevideo WanderersDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 5.8% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-0 @ 4.84% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 26.99%
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.53% (0.39 0.39)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.63%
0-1 @ 15.01% (0.33 0.33)
0-2 @ 8.99% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 43.37%

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 11pm
Penarol
1-0
Wanderers
Ceppelini (45+3' pen.)
Gargano (11'), Ramos (32'), Mansilla (44'), Musto (90+1')

Bravo (40'), Veglio (45+2'), Aguirre (90+2')
Oct 4, 2021 1am
Penarol
3-0
Wanderers
Rodriguez (3' og.), Laquintana (52', 70')
Gonzalez (72')
Elizalde (57')

Abero (15'), Petryk (42'), Izquierdo (85')
Petryk (58')
Jun 7, 2021 12.15am
Wanderers
0-0
Penarol

Petryk (33'), Pereira (58')

Rodriguez (9')
Rodriguez (72')
Feb 21, 2021 12.45am
Wanderers
0-1
Penarol

Rivero (16'), Martinez (64'), Morales (74'), Wagner (79')
Torres (21')
Gonzalez (29'), Kagelmacher (33'), Piquerez (62'), Gargano (70'), Acosta (74')
Aug 31, 2020 12.15am
Penarol
0-2
Wanderers

Vadocz (17'), Abascal (51')
Pastorini (53'), Barboza (72')
Torres (33'), Veglio (43'), Izquierdo (83')